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Margie
Senior Storm Chaser


Reged: Fri
Posts: 1191
Loc: Twin Cities
Re: Hurricane Stan Approaches Mexico, And More on Bahamas Wave
      Tue Oct 04 2005 08:00 AM

Well what the?...I wake up and go look at the sat images and Stan has made a beeline for the SW overnight, and is likely to make landfall before the 10am advisory.

I estimated right on the intensity yesterday, but apparently for the wrong reason...after Stan left the shallow deep warm coastal waters, he continued to intensify, and looks to be still doing so.

Trying to understand this...Last night noticed a lot of convection curving along the coastline (part of a feeder band curving all the way around west of the storm, then north, then southeast past Cuba and bringing up Carribean warmth?), and this seems to have all merged into one big mass of convection with the storm, now. But this morning, looking at the sat image, also notice that overnight there was a lot of convection occuring on the west coast of MEX as well, and wondering if this is another feeder band that is curving in from the south and hooking up with the storm from the east. Is the storm obtaining some of its energy from the Pacific at this point? Also I'd assume the faster forward speed is a factor, preventing upwelling of cooler water under the warm SSTs.

edit -- reviewing the overnight stuff, NHC had to issue a special discussion at 1am to change the track, the speed, and the intensity.

--------------------
Katrina's Surge: http://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/Katrinas_surge_contents.asp

Edited by Margie (Tue Oct 04 2005 08:35 AM)

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Bahamas Tropical Wave and Tropical Depression Stan MikeCAdministrator Tue Oct 04 2005 08:00 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Stan Approaches Mexico, And More on Bahamas Wave Clark   Wed Oct 05 2005 12:37 AM
. * * 92L maintains and Stan moves toward the E. Pacific danielwAdministrator   Wed Oct 05 2005 06:00 AM
. * * Looks Like We Might Have Tammy recmod   Wed Oct 05 2005 05:44 AM
. * * Re: Looks Like We Might Have Tammy Hugh   Wed Oct 05 2005 06:32 AM
. * * Re: Looks Like We Might Have Tammy Wxwatcher2   Wed Oct 05 2005 05:52 AM
. * * Severe Weather Possible danielwAdministrator   Wed Oct 05 2005 06:34 AM
. * * Re: Severe Weather Possible amonty   Wed Oct 05 2005 06:54 AM
. * * Re: Severe Weather Possible Hugh   Wed Oct 05 2005 06:56 AM
. * * Re: Severe Weather Possible amonty   Wed Oct 05 2005 07:02 AM
. * * Re: Severe Weather Possible amonty   Wed Oct 05 2005 07:01 AM
. * * Re: Severe Weather Possible Hugh   Wed Oct 05 2005 07:04 AM
. * * Re: Severe Weather Possible Brown Brown   Wed Oct 05 2005 07:21 AM
. * * Re: Severe Weather Possible jlauderdal   Wed Oct 05 2005 07:25 AM
. * * Re: Severe Weather Possible Brown Brown   Wed Oct 05 2005 07:30 AM
. * * Re: Severe Weather Possible Wxwatcher2   Wed Oct 05 2005 08:09 AM
. * * Re: Severe Weather Possible Brown Brown   Wed Oct 05 2005 08:18 AM
. * * Re: Severe Weather Possible Random Chaos   Wed Oct 05 2005 08:37 AM
. * * Re: Severe Weather Possible Margie   Wed Oct 05 2005 09:03 AM
. * * Re: Severe Weather Possible Brown Brown   Wed Oct 05 2005 08:20 AM
. * * Re: Severe Weather Possible Ed in Va   Wed Oct 05 2005 08:23 AM
. * * Re: Severe Weather Possible Hugh   Wed Oct 05 2005 07:54 AM
. * * Re: Severe Weather Possible Brown Brown   Wed Oct 05 2005 08:02 AM
. * * Re: Severe Weather Possible craigm   Wed Oct 05 2005 08:15 AM
. * * Re: Severe Weather Possible OrlandoDan   Wed Oct 05 2005 07:29 AM
. * * Re: Severe Weather Possible Beach   Wed Oct 05 2005 07:33 AM
. * * Re: Severe Weather Possible Lsr1166   Wed Oct 05 2005 07:38 AM
. * * Re: Severe Weather Possible emackl   Wed Oct 05 2005 07:15 AM
. * * Re: Severe Weather Possible craigm   Wed Oct 05 2005 07:42 AM
. * * Re: Severe Weather Possible Hootowl   Wed Oct 05 2005 06:54 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Stan Approaches Mexico, And More on Bahamas Wave Beaumont, TX   Tue Oct 04 2005 04:46 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Stan Approaches Mexico, And More on Bahamas Wave Ed in Va   Tue Oct 04 2005 04:58 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Stan Approaches Mexico, And More on Bahamas Wave hurricane expert   Tue Oct 04 2005 02:16 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Stan Approaches Mexico, And More on Bahamas Wave Wxwatcher2   Tue Oct 04 2005 09:53 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Stan Approaches Mexico, And More on Bahamas Wave Margie   Tue Oct 04 2005 10:08 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Stan Approaches Mexico, And More on Bahamas Wave HanKFranK   Tue Oct 04 2005 10:29 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Stan Approaches Mexico, And More on Bahamas Wave dave foster   Tue Oct 04 2005 12:19 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Stan Approaches Mexico, And More on Bahamas Wave dave foster   Tue Oct 04 2005 09:40 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Stan Approaches Mexico, And More on Bahamas Wave Margie   Tue Oct 04 2005 10:50 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Stan Approaches Mexico, And More on Bahamas Wave Thunderbird12   Tue Oct 04 2005 11:30 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Stan Approaches Mexico, And More on Bahamas Wave Storm Hunter   Tue Oct 04 2005 10:37 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Stan Approaches Mexico, And More on Bahamas Wave Thunderbird12   Tue Oct 04 2005 10:48 PM
. * * Re: 92L Spinning up Tropics Guy   Tue Oct 04 2005 12:54 PM
. * * Re: 92L Spinning up Steve H1   Tue Oct 04 2005 01:02 PM
. * * Re: 92L Spinning up HanKFranK   Tue Oct 04 2005 01:20 PM
. * * Re: 92L Spinning up scottsvb   Tue Oct 04 2005 01:30 PM
. * * Re: 92L Spinning up ralphfl   Tue Oct 04 2005 02:25 PM
. * * Re: 92L Spinning up scottsvb   Tue Oct 04 2005 03:09 PM
. * * Re: 92L Spinning up Random Chaos   Tue Oct 04 2005 03:11 PM
. * * Re: 92L Spinning up scottsvb   Tue Oct 04 2005 03:19 PM
. * * Re: 92L Spinning up emackl   Tue Oct 04 2005 03:22 PM
. * * Re: 92L Spinning up Big Kahuna   Tue Oct 04 2005 04:09 PM
. * * Re: 92L Spinning up Thunderbird12   Tue Oct 04 2005 04:25 PM
. * * Re: 92L Spinning up emackl   Tue Oct 04 2005 05:03 PM
. * * Re: 92L Spinning up Storm Hunter   Tue Oct 04 2005 05:11 PM
. * * Re: 92L Spinning up Hootowl   Tue Oct 04 2005 05:58 PM
. * * Re: 92L Spinning up Margie   Tue Oct 04 2005 06:18 PM
. * * Re: 92L Spinning up Hootowl   Tue Oct 04 2005 07:21 PM
. * * Re: 92L Spinning up danielwAdministrator   Tue Oct 04 2005 07:32 PM
. * * Re: 92L Spinning up Margie   Tue Oct 04 2005 08:22 PM
. * * Re: 92L Spinning up Brown Brown   Tue Oct 04 2005 11:08 PM
. * * WS ETA CoalCracker   Tue Oct 04 2005 08:10 PM
. * * 8pm obs HanKFranK   Tue Oct 04 2005 08:24 PM
. * * Re: 8pm obs emackl   Tue Oct 04 2005 09:10 PM
. * * Re: 92L Spinning up Hurricane Fredrick 1979   Tue Oct 04 2005 06:34 PM
. * * Re: 92L Spinning up Thunderbird12   Tue Oct 04 2005 05:34 PM
. * * Re: 92L Spinning up sara33   Tue Oct 04 2005 07:03 PM
. * * Re: 92L Spinning up Hurricane Fredrick 1979   Tue Oct 04 2005 07:28 PM
. * * Re: 92L Spinning up sara33   Tue Oct 04 2005 07:42 PM
. * * Re: 92L Spinning up jusforsean   Tue Oct 04 2005 08:18 PM
. * * Re: 92L Spinning up emackl   Tue Oct 04 2005 05:57 PM
. * * latest TWO Thunderbird12   Tue Oct 04 2005 05:20 PM
. * * Re: latest TWO Margie   Tue Oct 04 2005 05:37 PM
. * * Re: 92L Spinning up HURRICANELONNY   Tue Oct 04 2005 04:16 PM
. * * Re: 92L Spinning up Thunderbird12   Tue Oct 04 2005 04:04 PM
. * * The odd chance event Bloodstar   Tue Oct 04 2005 03:07 PM
. * * Re: 92L Spinning up Clark   Tue Oct 04 2005 01:47 PM
. * * Re: 92L Spinning up Thunderbird12   Tue Oct 04 2005 03:09 PM
. * * Re: 92L Spinning up sara33   Tue Oct 04 2005 01:28 PM
. * * Re: 92L Spinning up scottsvb   Tue Oct 04 2005 01:17 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Stan Approaches Mexico, And More on Bahamas Wave Tazmanian93   Tue Oct 04 2005 12:12 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Stan Approaches Mexico, And More on Bahamas Wave Margie   Tue Oct 04 2005 11:38 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Stan Approaches Mexico, And More on Bahamas Wave Ed in Va   Tue Oct 04 2005 10:17 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Stan Approaches Mexico, And More on Bahamas Wave emackl   Tue Oct 04 2005 10:24 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Stan Approaches Mexico, And More on Bahamas Wave Margie   Tue Oct 04 2005 08:00 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Stan Approaches Mexico, And More on Bahamas Wave Katie   Tue Oct 04 2005 08:44 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Stan Approaches Mexico, And More on Bahamas Wave emackl   Tue Oct 04 2005 09:07 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Stan Approaches Mexico, And More on Bahamas Wave Scrappy   Tue Oct 04 2005 09:06 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Stan Approaches Mexico, And More on Bahamas Wave Lee-Delray   Tue Oct 04 2005 09:05 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Stan Approaches Mexico, And More on Bahamas Wave tpratch   Tue Oct 04 2005 09:09 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Stan Approaches Mexico, And More on Bahamas Wave Katie   Tue Oct 04 2005 10:59 AM
. * * Katrina zmdz01   Tue Oct 04 2005 11:35 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Stan Approaches Mexico, And More on Bahamas Wave emackl   Tue Oct 04 2005 09:23 AM

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