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danielwAdministrator
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Reged: Wed
Posts: 3525
Loc: Hattiesburg,MS (31.3N 89.3W)
Re: 92L Spinning up
      Tue Oct 04 2005 07:32 PM

WSETA...Wind shear version of the ETA???

I managed to catch Dr Lyons Trop Update about 90 minutes ago.
While all eyes are on the tropical wave positioned off of the FL East Coast. He pointed out that there is a middle to upper level Low over the NE GOM, near Cedar Key. This Low is expected to merge/ mingle/ mix, with the tropical wave. The Low is easily seen on current Water Vapor imagery.
Dr Lyons also pointed out that a cool front moving through the TX OK Panhandle area, should pickup the Low and move it NE...inland.

The cool front that Dr Lyons referred to is presently stirring up quite a bit of convection in the Plains.
The remnants of E Pac Hurricane Otis have moved into the SW Plains and are responsible for the very unusual, moist tropical air in place.

note:With the NE GOM Low's current proximity to the coast. And the premise (not promise) of the frontal passage picking up the Low. I, personally wouldn't give it any number higher than a 4 out of 10 for development.
But I'm not a MET, I haven't looked at the models in a few days or more...and I didn't stay at Holiday Inn Express last night.~danielw

Edited by danielw (Tue Oct 04 2005 07:36 PM)

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Subject Posted by Posted on
* Bahamas Tropical Wave and Tropical Depression Stan MikeCAdministrator Tue Oct 04 2005 07:32 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Stan Approaches Mexico, And More on Bahamas Wave Clark   Wed Oct 05 2005 12:37 AM
. * * 92L maintains and Stan moves toward the E. Pacific danielwAdministrator   Wed Oct 05 2005 06:00 AM
. * * Looks Like We Might Have Tammy recmod   Wed Oct 05 2005 05:44 AM
. * * Re: Looks Like We Might Have Tammy Hugh   Wed Oct 05 2005 06:32 AM
. * * Re: Looks Like We Might Have Tammy Wxwatcher2   Wed Oct 05 2005 05:52 AM
. * * Severe Weather Possible danielwAdministrator   Wed Oct 05 2005 06:34 AM
. * * Re: Severe Weather Possible amonty   Wed Oct 05 2005 06:54 AM
. * * Re: Severe Weather Possible Hugh   Wed Oct 05 2005 06:56 AM
. * * Re: Severe Weather Possible amonty   Wed Oct 05 2005 07:02 AM
. * * Re: Severe Weather Possible amonty   Wed Oct 05 2005 07:01 AM
. * * Re: Severe Weather Possible Hugh   Wed Oct 05 2005 07:04 AM
. * * Re: Severe Weather Possible Brown Brown   Wed Oct 05 2005 07:21 AM
. * * Re: Severe Weather Possible jlauderdal   Wed Oct 05 2005 07:25 AM
. * * Re: Severe Weather Possible Brown Brown   Wed Oct 05 2005 07:30 AM
. * * Re: Severe Weather Possible Wxwatcher2   Wed Oct 05 2005 08:09 AM
. * * Re: Severe Weather Possible Brown Brown   Wed Oct 05 2005 08:18 AM
. * * Re: Severe Weather Possible Random Chaos   Wed Oct 05 2005 08:37 AM
. * * Re: Severe Weather Possible Margie   Wed Oct 05 2005 09:03 AM
. * * Re: Severe Weather Possible Brown Brown   Wed Oct 05 2005 08:20 AM
. * * Re: Severe Weather Possible Ed in Va   Wed Oct 05 2005 08:23 AM
. * * Re: Severe Weather Possible Hugh   Wed Oct 05 2005 07:54 AM
. * * Re: Severe Weather Possible Brown Brown   Wed Oct 05 2005 08:02 AM
. * * Re: Severe Weather Possible craigm   Wed Oct 05 2005 08:15 AM
. * * Re: Severe Weather Possible OrlandoDan   Wed Oct 05 2005 07:29 AM
. * * Re: Severe Weather Possible Beach   Wed Oct 05 2005 07:33 AM
. * * Re: Severe Weather Possible Lsr1166   Wed Oct 05 2005 07:38 AM
. * * Re: Severe Weather Possible emackl   Wed Oct 05 2005 07:15 AM
. * * Re: Severe Weather Possible craigm   Wed Oct 05 2005 07:42 AM
. * * Re: Severe Weather Possible Hootowl   Wed Oct 05 2005 06:54 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Stan Approaches Mexico, And More on Bahamas Wave Beaumont, TX   Tue Oct 04 2005 04:46 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Stan Approaches Mexico, And More on Bahamas Wave Ed in Va   Tue Oct 04 2005 04:58 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Stan Approaches Mexico, And More on Bahamas Wave hurricane expert   Tue Oct 04 2005 02:16 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Stan Approaches Mexico, And More on Bahamas Wave Wxwatcher2   Tue Oct 04 2005 09:53 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Stan Approaches Mexico, And More on Bahamas Wave Margie   Tue Oct 04 2005 10:08 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Stan Approaches Mexico, And More on Bahamas Wave HanKFranK   Tue Oct 04 2005 10:29 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Stan Approaches Mexico, And More on Bahamas Wave dave foster   Tue Oct 04 2005 12:19 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Stan Approaches Mexico, And More on Bahamas Wave dave foster   Tue Oct 04 2005 09:40 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Stan Approaches Mexico, And More on Bahamas Wave Margie   Tue Oct 04 2005 10:50 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Stan Approaches Mexico, And More on Bahamas Wave Thunderbird12   Tue Oct 04 2005 11:30 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Stan Approaches Mexico, And More on Bahamas Wave Storm Hunter   Tue Oct 04 2005 10:37 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Stan Approaches Mexico, And More on Bahamas Wave Thunderbird12   Tue Oct 04 2005 10:48 PM
. * * Re: 92L Spinning up Tropics Guy   Tue Oct 04 2005 12:54 PM
. * * Re: 92L Spinning up Steve H1   Tue Oct 04 2005 01:02 PM
. * * Re: 92L Spinning up HanKFranK   Tue Oct 04 2005 01:20 PM
. * * Re: 92L Spinning up scottsvb   Tue Oct 04 2005 01:30 PM
. * * Re: 92L Spinning up ralphfl   Tue Oct 04 2005 02:25 PM
. * * Re: 92L Spinning up scottsvb   Tue Oct 04 2005 03:09 PM
. * * Re: 92L Spinning up Random Chaos   Tue Oct 04 2005 03:11 PM
. * * Re: 92L Spinning up scottsvb   Tue Oct 04 2005 03:19 PM
. * * Re: 92L Spinning up emackl   Tue Oct 04 2005 03:22 PM
. * * Re: 92L Spinning up Big Kahuna   Tue Oct 04 2005 04:09 PM
. * * Re: 92L Spinning up Thunderbird12   Tue Oct 04 2005 04:25 PM
. * * Re: 92L Spinning up emackl   Tue Oct 04 2005 05:03 PM
. * * Re: 92L Spinning up Storm Hunter   Tue Oct 04 2005 05:11 PM
. * * Re: 92L Spinning up Hootowl   Tue Oct 04 2005 05:58 PM
. * * Re: 92L Spinning up Margie   Tue Oct 04 2005 06:18 PM
. * * Re: 92L Spinning up Hootowl   Tue Oct 04 2005 07:21 PM
. * * Re: 92L Spinning up danielwAdministrator   Tue Oct 04 2005 07:32 PM
. * * Re: 92L Spinning up Margie   Tue Oct 04 2005 08:22 PM
. * * Re: 92L Spinning up Brown Brown   Tue Oct 04 2005 11:08 PM
. * * WS ETA CoalCracker   Tue Oct 04 2005 08:10 PM
. * * 8pm obs HanKFranK   Tue Oct 04 2005 08:24 PM
. * * Re: 8pm obs emackl   Tue Oct 04 2005 09:10 PM
. * * Re: 92L Spinning up Hurricane Fredrick 1979   Tue Oct 04 2005 06:34 PM
. * * Re: 92L Spinning up Thunderbird12   Tue Oct 04 2005 05:34 PM
. * * Re: 92L Spinning up sara33   Tue Oct 04 2005 07:03 PM
. * * Re: 92L Spinning up Hurricane Fredrick 1979   Tue Oct 04 2005 07:28 PM
. * * Re: 92L Spinning up sara33   Tue Oct 04 2005 07:42 PM
. * * Re: 92L Spinning up jusforsean   Tue Oct 04 2005 08:18 PM
. * * Re: 92L Spinning up emackl   Tue Oct 04 2005 05:57 PM
. * * latest TWO Thunderbird12   Tue Oct 04 2005 05:20 PM
. * * Re: latest TWO Margie   Tue Oct 04 2005 05:37 PM
. * * Re: 92L Spinning up HURRICANELONNY   Tue Oct 04 2005 04:16 PM
. * * Re: 92L Spinning up Thunderbird12   Tue Oct 04 2005 04:04 PM
. * * The odd chance event Bloodstar   Tue Oct 04 2005 03:07 PM
. * * Re: 92L Spinning up Clark   Tue Oct 04 2005 01:47 PM
. * * Re: 92L Spinning up Thunderbird12   Tue Oct 04 2005 03:09 PM
. * * Re: 92L Spinning up sara33   Tue Oct 04 2005 01:28 PM
. * * Re: 92L Spinning up scottsvb   Tue Oct 04 2005 01:17 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Stan Approaches Mexico, And More on Bahamas Wave Tazmanian93   Tue Oct 04 2005 12:12 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Stan Approaches Mexico, And More on Bahamas Wave Margie   Tue Oct 04 2005 11:38 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Stan Approaches Mexico, And More on Bahamas Wave Ed in Va   Tue Oct 04 2005 10:17 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Stan Approaches Mexico, And More on Bahamas Wave emackl   Tue Oct 04 2005 10:24 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Stan Approaches Mexico, And More on Bahamas Wave Margie   Tue Oct 04 2005 08:00 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Stan Approaches Mexico, And More on Bahamas Wave Katie   Tue Oct 04 2005 08:44 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Stan Approaches Mexico, And More on Bahamas Wave emackl   Tue Oct 04 2005 09:07 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Stan Approaches Mexico, And More on Bahamas Wave Scrappy   Tue Oct 04 2005 09:06 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Stan Approaches Mexico, And More on Bahamas Wave Lee-Delray   Tue Oct 04 2005 09:05 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Stan Approaches Mexico, And More on Bahamas Wave tpratch   Tue Oct 04 2005 09:09 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Stan Approaches Mexico, And More on Bahamas Wave Katie   Tue Oct 04 2005 10:59 AM
. * * Katrina zmdz01   Tue Oct 04 2005 11:35 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Stan Approaches Mexico, And More on Bahamas Wave emackl   Tue Oct 04 2005 09:23 AM

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