I've been watching the models closely the last couple of days, and the GFS has persistently spun up a system near the Yucatan/Western Cuba and sent it into the west coast of Florida between Tampa and Everglades City with intensification happening rapidly offshore before making landfall. Looks like I might need to dust off the storm panels and keep my bag of wing nuts handy because whatever happens will occur pretty quickly. 56 days to go until 1 December but who's counting.
Just got a quick glimpse of the 12Z GFS models on the NCEP site which thankfully depicts a weaker system than previoiusly advertised.
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Generated May 18, 2024, 1:32:33 AM EDT
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center