Well the area near the Yucatan has caught my immediate attention. There is a LLC currently crossing the Yucatan peninsula that should emerge off the east side into the water later today. It will be interesting to see how this reacts when its offshore, particularly if Tammy goes toward the north and doesn't get into the NE GOM. If tht happens, the Yucatan systemwill NOT go toward the panhandle as some models show, but further east toward the Florida peninsula, since it will not get influenced by a southerly flow, but more from the SW. Getting real interesting as we head into the next two weeks, as models have all kinds of scenarios to wind up the hurricane season. The low in the east-central Atlantic looks to be a lamb waiting for slaughter as screaming upper level flow is to its NW. If that doesn't lessen, we won't have to worry about that. But we have enuf on this side of the Atlantic to keep us concerned. Cheers!!
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Generated May 18, 2024, 10:50:40 PM EDT
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center