There's a definite rotation on the eastern side of the Yucatan - is has come across roughly half the land area of the Yucatan in the last six hours. At that rate of movement it should be over water this evening, at which point we'll find out if it can start to wrap and fire anything up or not...... a large part of that will be determined by whether the ULL over the eastern gulf cuts off the dry air - if not then the shear and dry air should keep this thing from doing much.
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Generated May 18, 2024, 8:49:05 PM EDT
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center