They actually did a SHIPS run this morning for 21L (Tammy's remains) over the northern Gulf. Not much development was indicated though. The SHIPS run for 95L this morning showed steady intensification to hurricane strength in about 48 hours. This DOES NOT mean that the model is forecasting 95L to become a hurricane... the model runs under the assumption that the system is already a tropical cyclone, which 95L is not. However, the intensification shown in the model suggests that conditions would generally be favorable for intensification if 95L does become a tropical cyclone in the next 24-48 hours.
Here is a link to some early model tracks for 95L:
There is a well-defined surface circulation near the GA coast right now... it's too small and too close to land for much tropical development, but it will enhance the tornado threat across coastal areas of northern GA and the Carolinas, where a Tornado Watch has recently been issued.
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Generated May 14, 2024, 9:49:13 AM EDT
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center