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HanKFranK
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Reged: Mon
Posts: 1841
Loc: Graniteville, SC
Re: Azores - Canary Islands system
      Sat Oct 08 2005 09:21 PM

96L has a tropical appearance, within the larger deep-layer trough environment. that's one of the clearest cases for a subtropical storm that i've ever seen. nhc has to be scratching their head over what to do with it because it's way the hell east of where systems are usually trackable. of course back in 1998 nicole did come out of that general area.. perhaps it'll get the nod at 11. clark would know how it looks on phase-analysis... hope he shows up this evening.
subtd 22 is still strongly sheared out of the east. flow continue to push it west for the early part of the period... if it goes too far it'll have to content with the northerly shear zone upstream of it's location. so far it hasn't gone quite north enough to take advantage of the ridging/good outflow environment to the north, but is remaining over ssts marginal to support a hurricane. a half day's abatement of shear would allow this storm to get going, but as of now it's still questionable whether it gets named, as it hasn't escaped the shear that started on it this morning.
94L has a good outflow environment to its east, but is struggling where it is. likelihood of near term development is low, but may improve in the long-run if it can remain coherent.
don't think the globals have the system originating early in the week near the greater antilles right. it may be a drill down or a storm that forms under the ridging near the bahamas upstream of the trough. or it could be that the conflicting forces allow nothing to go. there are enough models swinging a deep tropical low northward by bermuda towards cape cod to be a interested, but the evolution still doesn't look right.
HF 0121z09october

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Nothing Imminent but Plenty of Waves - Subtorpical Depression Short Lived MikeCAdministrator Sat Oct 08 2005 09:21 PM
. * * Re: Nothing Imminent but Plenty of Waves typhoon_tip   Fri Oct 07 2005 10:13 AM
. * * Re: Nothing Imminent but Plenty of Waves NewWatcher   Fri Oct 07 2005 11:01 AM
. * * Re: Nothing Imminent but Plenty of Waves typhoon_tip   Fri Oct 07 2005 11:16 AM
. * * Re: Nothing Imminent but Plenty of Waves Hootowl   Fri Oct 07 2005 11:09 AM
. * * Re: Nothing Imminent but Plenty of Waves Reaper   Fri Oct 07 2005 12:07 PM
. * * Re: Nothing Imminent but Plenty of Waves Thunderbird12   Fri Oct 07 2005 12:51 PM
. * * Re: Nothing Imminent but Plenty of Waves B.C.Francis   Fri Oct 07 2005 03:28 PM
. * * Re: Nothing Imminent but Plenty of Waves Big Kahuna   Fri Oct 07 2005 04:36 PM
. * * Re: Nothing Imminent but Plenty of Waves HanKFranK   Sat Oct 08 2005 12:33 AM
. * * Re: Nothing Imminent but Plenty of Waves HanKFranK   Sat Oct 08 2005 05:08 AM
. * * Re: Nothing Imminent but Plenty of Waves Bloodstar   Sat Oct 08 2005 05:23 AM
. * * Azores system Rich B   Sat Oct 08 2005 06:47 AM
. * * Re: Azores system Hugh   Sat Oct 08 2005 08:45 AM
. * * Re: Azores system Random Chaos   Sat Oct 08 2005 09:17 AM
. * * Its here - 22L Rich B   Sat Oct 08 2005 09:43 AM
. * * Re: Its here - 22L Margie   Sat Oct 08 2005 10:47 AM
. * * Re: Its here - 22L dave foster   Sat Oct 08 2005 11:56 AM
. * * Azores - Canary Islands system Rich B   Sat Oct 08 2005 12:05 PM
. * * Re: Azores - Canary Islands system HanKFranK   Sat Oct 08 2005 01:37 PM
. * * Re: Azores - Canary Islands system dave foster   Sat Oct 08 2005 06:11 PM
. * * Re: Azores - Canary Islands system HanKFranK   Sat Oct 08 2005 09:21 PM
. * * Re: Azores - Canary Islands system Clark   Sat Oct 08 2005 10:20 PM
. * * Re: Azores - Canary Islands system sara33   Sat Oct 08 2005 10:41 PM
. * * Re: Azores - Canary Islands system NONAME   Sat Oct 08 2005 10:46 PM
. * * Re: Azores - Canary Islands system sara33   Sat Oct 08 2005 10:50 PM
. * * Re: Azores - Canary Islands system NONAME   Sat Oct 08 2005 11:06 PM
. * * Re: Azores - Canary Islands system CaneTrackerInSoFl   Sat Oct 08 2005 10:46 PM
. * * Re: Azores - Canary Islands system NONAME   Sat Oct 08 2005 10:28 PM
. * * Re: Azores - Canary Islands system Clark   Sun Oct 09 2005 12:17 AM
. * * Re: Azores - Canary Islands system Rich B   Sun Oct 09 2005 04:05 AM
. * * Re: Azores - Canary Islands system HCW   Sun Oct 09 2005 09:19 AM
. * * Re: Azores - Canary Islands system damejune2   Sun Oct 09 2005 09:28 AM
. * * Vince Cycloneye11   Sun Oct 09 2005 09:37 AM
. * * Re: Vince Rich B   Sun Oct 09 2005 09:45 AM
. * * Re: Vince Lysis   Sun Oct 09 2005 10:40 AM
. * * Re: Vince Lsr1166   Sun Oct 09 2005 10:57 AM
. * * Re: Azores - Canary Islands system Hugh   Sun Oct 09 2005 07:51 AM
. * * Re: Azores - Canary Islands system sara33   Sat Oct 08 2005 09:52 PM
. * * Re: Its here - 22L Hugh   Sat Oct 08 2005 10:35 AM
. * * Re: Nothing Imminent but Plenty of Waves typhoon_tip   Fri Oct 07 2005 01:29 PM
. * * Re: Nothing Imminent but Plenty of Waves Thunderbird12   Fri Oct 07 2005 01:46 PM
. * * Re: Nothing Imminent but Plenty of Waves CoalCracker   Fri Oct 07 2005 12:14 PM
. * * Re: Nothing Imminent but Plenty of Waves wasup   Fri Oct 07 2005 10:05 AM

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