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HanKFranK
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Reged: Mon
Posts: 1841
Loc: Graniteville, SC
devil's advocate
      Thu Oct 13 2005 07:00 PM

a few comments:
trouble continues in the northeast. another significant low has formed in the tropical moisture train from the caribbean to bermuda to new england--this one is moving towards the new jersey coast and should cross tomorrow morning. another inch to few inches of rain probably involved with this one, and more on the way. the upper low that is funneling it all around is west of bermuda now... another impulse is coming up east of bermuda and should turn northwest as it rounds it... this is likely the feature that should deepen into the large gale center depicted moving into the gulf of maine/canadian maritimes over the weekend.
models still sketchy about caribbean development though the overall pattern will be modestly supportive once the upper trough loses its influence. there is still a large area of turning under enough shear to cap it southeast of jamaica.. and another small low pressure that has formed in the windward passage and is now moving westward just south of eastern cuba. these features should persist and may try something when the shear pattern begins to slacken up.
east atlantic wave of note out in the cape verde region, but it's pretty much too late to spawn a system out there... and everything this year that has been a successful tropical cyclone has formed further west or not really deepened until west of 50-60w. if it were to organize rapidly it might have a brief life, but doubtful anything can get going.
there's actually a small disturbance of note in the eastpac near 10/100. if this were to develop it would agitate the atlantic shear pattern and probably signal more atlantic activity... worth note for that reason even though mjo state dictates not much should happen for the next 2 weeks or so.
HF 2300z13october

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Subject Posted by Posted on
* Mostly Quiet in the Atlantic MikeCAdministrator Thu Oct 13 2005 07:00 PM
. * * Re: Mostly Quiet in the Atlantic danielwAdministrator   Wed Oct 12 2005 08:08 PM
. * * Re: Mostly Quiet in the Atlantic Steve H1   Wed Oct 12 2005 10:41 PM
. * * Re: Mostly Quiet in the Atlantic Beaumont, TX   Thu Oct 13 2005 12:16 AM
. * * Re: Mostly Quiet in the Atlantic GuppieGrouper   Thu Oct 13 2005 08:14 AM
. * * Re: Mostly Quiet in the Atlantic LisaA   Thu Oct 13 2005 04:47 PM
. * * Re: Mostly Quiet in the Atlantic B.C.Francis   Thu Oct 13 2005 05:44 PM
. * * devil's advocate HanKFranK   Thu Oct 13 2005 07:00 PM
. * * Re: devil's advocate typhoon_tip   Thu Oct 13 2005 10:09 PM
. * * Re: devil's advocate Margie   Thu Oct 13 2005 11:21 PM
. * * Re: devil's advocate *Killed -- Sent to Graveyard* typhoon_tip   Thu Oct 13 2005 11:23 PM
. * * Re: devil's advocate Margie   Thu Oct 13 2005 11:33 PM
. * * Re: devil's advocate typhoon_tip   Thu Oct 13 2005 11:45 PM
. * * Re: devil's advocate Margie   Thu Oct 13 2005 11:55 PM
. * * Re: devil's advocate Ed in Va   Fri Oct 14 2005 01:46 PM
. * * Re: devil's advocate Thunderbird12   Fri Oct 14 2005 02:42 PM
. * * Re: devil's advocate Old Sailor   Fri Oct 14 2005 02:59 PM
. * * 98L Thunderbird12   Fri Oct 14 2005 03:27 PM
. * * Re: devil's advocate CoalCracker   Fri Oct 14 2005 03:25 PM
. * * Re: devil's advocate Ed in Va   Fri Oct 14 2005 03:59 PM
. * * Re: devil's advocate Thunderbird12   Fri Oct 14 2005 04:19 PM
. * * Re: devil's advocate Storm Hunter   Fri Oct 14 2005 04:33 PM
. * * Re: 98L Ron Basso   Fri Oct 14 2005 06:36 PM
. * * Re: 98L Hurricane Fredrick 1979   Fri Oct 14 2005 07:11 PM
. * * Re: 98L Beaumont, TX   Fri Oct 14 2005 11:39 PM
. * * Re: 98L Old Sailor   Fri Oct 14 2005 11:46 PM
. * * Re: 98L GuppieGrouper   Fri Oct 14 2005 11:59 PM
. * * Re: 98L Storm Hunter   Sat Oct 15 2005 01:42 AM
. * * Re: 98L Spoken   Sat Oct 15 2005 02:16 AM
. * * Re: 98L Hurricane Fredrick 1979   Sat Oct 15 2005 02:14 AM
. * * Re: 98L Spoken   Sat Oct 15 2005 02:38 AM
. * * Re: 98L Hurricane Fredrick 1979   Sat Oct 15 2005 06:17 AM
. * * Re: 98L NONAME   Sat Oct 15 2005 08:18 AM
. * * Re: 98L Random Chaos   Sat Oct 15 2005 09:17 AM
. * * Re: 98L Random Chaos   Sat Oct 15 2005 09:18 AM
. * * Re: 98L Old Sailor   Fri Oct 14 2005 08:29 PM
. * * Re: 98L Thunderbird12   Fri Oct 14 2005 10:52 PM
. * * The latest TWO Thunderbird12   Fri Oct 14 2005 05:09 PM
. * * Re: devil's advocate Big Kahuna   Fri Oct 14 2005 03:19 PM
. * * thanks for link to back up site *Killed -- Sent to Graveyard* LoisCane   Fri Oct 14 2005 03:28 PM
. * * Re: 98L Ron Basso   Fri Oct 14 2005 03:52 PM
. * * i keep getting site down LoisCane   Fri Oct 14 2005 03:14 PM
. * * Re: devil's advocate Steve H1   Thu Oct 13 2005 07:35 PM
. * * Re: devil's advocate *Killed -- Sent to Graveyard* La Nimo   Thu Oct 13 2005 09:21 PM
. * * Re: devil's advocate damejune2   Thu Oct 13 2005 09:43 PM
. * * Re: devil's advocate dave foster   Thu Oct 13 2005 07:53 PM

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