Quote: .... appears that dry air is some how keeping her strained...
Yes and so it's going to take a little longer to get going. NHC mentioned the dry air in the 5am disc. The lower-level circulation is well-developed, and we have seen these to be tenacious. And the area of circulation has grown considerably in the last 24 hours; I am beginning to think when these storms can't intensify, the energy goes to increase their size. Also the outflow continues to be very strong. So to my eyes this TD continues to look very good, even with the inroads the dry air has made to the NW side. So even if dry air keeps development on a leash, she won't fall apart.
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Generated May 28, 2024, 4:38:59 PM EDT
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center