The last visible gives a fix on the llc, ringed with some convection, at close to 15.9/80.0 or a little SE of the previous as indicated. If reorganization is underway, then all this discussion of models is quite irrelevant. Today we would have had no real net movement of any significance and a whole day passing in which all the other systems effecting the landfall solution HAVE NOT remained static...all bets are off.
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Generated May 14, 2024, 1:15:10 PM EDT
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center