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scottsvb
Weather Master


Reged: Mon
Posts: 1184
Loc: fl
Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean
      Mon Oct 17 2005 08:39 PM

Right now it just matters on how much shear is in for Wilma once it gets into the gulf,, the shear that will push from W-E will drive her NE or even ENE..... I will say 1 thing, she will pick up speed prior to landfall but when is landfall is the best question cause shes not moving much yet,,,right now it looks like Sunday morning but could be as early as Saturday morning if she begins to move NW on Tuesday. All in all its the development of the system over the plains during the mid week period and how fast the Jet stream pushes this east to pick up Wilma and drive her NE.
Intensity should bring her up to near a Cat 4 by Thurs Night but then weaken some due to shear and also slightly cooler waters (although still 81-83dg) later Friday into Saturday. Landfall in Florida could be from a strong cat 1 to a weak ( although how can anyone really say weak) Cat 3. Now even though that water temp still supports a Hurricane, its less then the ocean heat content of the NW carribean near 84-87dg still.
Anyways Im inline pretty much still with the Nogaps and GFDL 18z run but more then 3 days out is speculation of course.

Edited by scottsvb (Mon Oct 17 2005 08:41 PM)

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* Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean MikeCAdministrator Mon Oct 17 2005 08:39 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean Beaumont, TX   Mon Oct 17 2005 10:15 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean scottsvb   Mon Oct 17 2005 10:19 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean Hugh   Mon Oct 17 2005 10:24 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean scottsvb   Mon Oct 17 2005 10:36 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean Hugh   Mon Oct 17 2005 10:41 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean scottsvb   Mon Oct 17 2005 10:43 PM
. * * Recon twizted sizter   Mon Oct 17 2005 10:50 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean scottsvb   Mon Oct 17 2005 10:46 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean weatherwatcher2   Mon Oct 17 2005 10:52 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean scottsvb   Mon Oct 17 2005 10:57 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean Hugh   Mon Oct 17 2005 11:00 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean DebbiePSL   Mon Oct 17 2005 11:05 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean ralphfl   Mon Oct 17 2005 11:40 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean Random Chaos   Mon Oct 17 2005 11:47 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean DebbiePSL   Tue Oct 18 2005 12:05 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean ftlaudbob   Tue Oct 18 2005 12:10 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean DebbiePSL   Tue Oct 18 2005 12:21 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean danielwAdministrator   Tue Oct 18 2005 12:48 AM
. * * 1 AM EDT danielwAdministrator   Tue Oct 18 2005 01:26 AM
. * * Recon Update danielwAdministrator   Tue Oct 18 2005 01:36 AM
. * * Re: Recon Update danielwAdministrator   Tue Oct 18 2005 02:08 AM
. * * Re: Recon Update scottsvb   Tue Oct 18 2005 02:11 AM
. * * Re: Recon Update Storm Hunter   Tue Oct 18 2005 02:16 AM
. * * Re: Recon Update Storm Hunter   Tue Oct 18 2005 02:20 AM
. * * Re: Recon Update Multi-Decadal Signal   Tue Oct 18 2005 02:36 AM
. * * Re: Recon Update jlauderdal   Tue Oct 18 2005 07:19 AM
. * * Crossing Florida? danielwAdministrator   Tue Oct 18 2005 02:40 AM
. * * Re: Crossing Florida? danielwAdministrator   Tue Oct 18 2005 02:55 AM
. * * Re: Crossing Florida? LadyStorm   Tue Oct 18 2005 05:44 AM
. * * Re: Crossing Florida? NewWatcher   Tue Oct 18 2005 07:20 AM
. * * Re: Crossing Florida? HURRICANELONNY   Tue Oct 18 2005 07:37 AM
. * * Cause of potential FL hit tpratch   Tue Oct 18 2005 07:34 AM
. * * Re: Cause of potential FL hit Ed G   Tue Oct 18 2005 07:47 AM
. * * Re: Crossing Florida? charlottefl   Tue Oct 18 2005 05:32 AM
. * * Re: Crossing Florida? dave foster   Tue Oct 18 2005 05:45 AM
. * * Re: Crossing Florida? Hugh   Tue Oct 18 2005 06:29 AM
. * * Re: Crossing Florida? Cindi   Tue Oct 18 2005 06:45 AM
. * * Re: Crossing Florida? Steve H1   Tue Oct 18 2005 06:50 AM
. * * Re: Crossing Florida? Margie   Tue Oct 18 2005 07:35 AM
. * * Re: Recon Update Storm Hunter   Tue Oct 18 2005 02:02 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean The Force 2005   Tue Oct 18 2005 01:00 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean Tazmanian93   Tue Oct 18 2005 01:08 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean Convergence   Tue Oct 18 2005 01:05 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean The Force 2005   Tue Oct 18 2005 01:09 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean ftlaudbob   Tue Oct 18 2005 01:30 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean scottsvb   Tue Oct 18 2005 01:35 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean ftlaudbob   Tue Oct 18 2005 01:41 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean scottsvb   Tue Oct 18 2005 01:43 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean ftlaudbob   Tue Oct 18 2005 01:50 AM
. * * teleconnected HanKFranK   Tue Oct 18 2005 02:07 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean floridafamily   Tue Oct 18 2005 01:26 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean Tazmanian93   Tue Oct 18 2005 01:34 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean DebbiePSL   Tue Oct 18 2005 12:56 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean ralphfl   Tue Oct 18 2005 12:29 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean DebbiePSL   Tue Oct 18 2005 12:37 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean ftlaudbob   Tue Oct 18 2005 12:41 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean ftlaudbob   Tue Oct 18 2005 12:37 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean ftlaudbob   Tue Oct 18 2005 12:29 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean DebbiePSL   Tue Oct 18 2005 12:18 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean cngodles   Mon Oct 17 2005 08:55 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean Ron Basso   Mon Oct 17 2005 09:06 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean k___g   Mon Oct 17 2005 08:59 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean Bloodstar   Mon Oct 17 2005 06:20 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean Hugh   Mon Oct 17 2005 06:59 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean WeatherNut   Mon Oct 17 2005 08:44 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean Thunderbird12   Mon Oct 17 2005 09:08 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean Hugh   Mon Oct 17 2005 10:14 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean scottsvb   Mon Oct 17 2005 09:14 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean Tazmanian93   Mon Oct 17 2005 10:12 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean typhoon_tip   Mon Oct 17 2005 07:57 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean Hugh   Mon Oct 17 2005 08:05 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean typhoon_tip   Mon Oct 17 2005 08:07 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean MadDog   Mon Oct 17 2005 08:01 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean Hugh   Mon Oct 17 2005 08:16 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean scottsvb   Mon Oct 17 2005 08:39 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean crpeavley   Mon Oct 17 2005 08:50 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean scottsvb   Mon Oct 17 2005 09:07 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean k___g   Mon Oct 17 2005 09:25 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean scottsvb   Mon Oct 17 2005 10:05 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean Tazmanian93   Mon Oct 17 2005 09:53 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean Ben Wallace   Mon Oct 17 2005 08:38 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean dave foster   Mon Oct 17 2005 07:22 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean Hugh   Mon Oct 17 2005 07:37 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean dave foster   Mon Oct 17 2005 08:05 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean Thunderbird12   Mon Oct 17 2005 06:50 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean sara33   Mon Oct 17 2005 06:57 PM
. * * Re: Dry Air Goosus   Mon Oct 17 2005 07:02 PM
. * * Re: Dry Air Hugh   Mon Oct 17 2005 07:07 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean scottsvb   Mon Oct 17 2005 07:02 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean NewWatcher   Mon Oct 17 2005 07:00 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean sara33   Mon Oct 17 2005 07:09 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean Jamiewx   Mon Oct 17 2005 07:18 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean Beaumont, TX   Mon Oct 17 2005 10:36 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean Steeler Fan   Mon Oct 17 2005 11:03 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean JMII   Mon Oct 17 2005 01:19 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean Steeler Fan   Mon Oct 17 2005 01:46 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean emackl   Mon Oct 17 2005 11:13 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean Tazmanian93   Mon Oct 17 2005 10:54 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean dave foster   Mon Oct 17 2005 08:31 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean Wxwatcher2   Mon Oct 17 2005 08:46 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean sara33   Mon Oct 17 2005 09:27 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean dave foster   Mon Oct 17 2005 09:02 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean GuppieGrouper   Mon Oct 17 2005 09:16 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean Lee-Delray   Mon Oct 17 2005 08:51 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean Colleen A.   Mon Oct 17 2005 09:11 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean Beaumont, TX   Mon Oct 17 2005 08:59 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean NewWatcher   Mon Oct 17 2005 09:20 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean Colleen A.   Mon Oct 17 2005 09:30 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean Tazmanian93   Mon Oct 17 2005 09:58 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean Wingman51   Mon Oct 17 2005 09:46 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean Tazmanian93   Mon Oct 17 2005 09:59 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean Thunderbird12   Mon Oct 17 2005 10:14 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean Steve H1   Mon Oct 17 2005 11:18 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean Clark   Mon Oct 17 2005 12:55 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean Big Kahuna   Mon Oct 17 2005 01:26 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean ralphfl   Mon Oct 17 2005 01:36 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean ralphfl   Mon Oct 17 2005 01:40 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean doug   Mon Oct 17 2005 02:10 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean JonB   Mon Oct 17 2005 02:04 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean emackl   Mon Oct 17 2005 02:14 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean ralphfl   Mon Oct 17 2005 02:10 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean NewWatcher   Mon Oct 17 2005 02:23 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean Thunderbird12   Mon Oct 17 2005 02:33 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean WeatherNut   Mon Oct 17 2005 02:50 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean Thunderbird12   Mon Oct 17 2005 03:16 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean gogogabby007   Mon Oct 17 2005 03:10 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean HURRICANELONNY   Mon Oct 17 2005 02:50 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean Thunderbird12   Mon Oct 17 2005 11:30 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean doug   Mon Oct 17 2005 12:30 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean Steve H1   Mon Oct 17 2005 12:32 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean Lake Toho - Kissimmee   Mon Oct 17 2005 11:48 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean typhoon_tip   Mon Oct 17 2005 11:53 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean Thunderbird12   Mon Oct 17 2005 12:09 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean typhoon_tip   Mon Oct 17 2005 12:56 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean Steve H1   Mon Oct 17 2005 01:02 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean typhoon_tip   Mon Oct 17 2005 01:38 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean Clark   Mon Oct 17 2005 03:19 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean typhoon_tip   Mon Oct 17 2005 04:17 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean Lysis   Mon Oct 17 2005 04:21 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean typhoon_tip   Mon Oct 17 2005 04:45 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean doug   Mon Oct 17 2005 04:32 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean Colleen A.   Mon Oct 17 2005 04:52 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean dave foster   Mon Oct 17 2005 04:57 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean Bloodstar   Mon Oct 17 2005 04:27 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean Thunderbird12   Mon Oct 17 2005 04:31 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean doug   Mon Oct 17 2005 03:28 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean dave foster   Mon Oct 17 2005 04:09 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean Gerryla   Mon Oct 17 2005 04:25 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean typhoon_tip   Mon Oct 17 2005 01:24 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean scottsvb   Mon Oct 17 2005 01:09 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean scottsvb   Mon Oct 17 2005 01:10 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean Lake Toho - Kissimmee   Mon Oct 17 2005 12:24 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean Thunderbird12   Mon Oct 17 2005 12:35 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean Lake Toho - Kissimmee   Mon Oct 17 2005 12:44 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean scottsvb   Mon Oct 17 2005 12:52 PM
. * * SE Drift? and 10N 50W? Bloodstar   Mon Oct 17 2005 12:41 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean scottsvb   Mon Oct 17 2005 12:39 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean NewWatcher   Mon Oct 17 2005 12:27 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean doug   Mon Oct 17 2005 12:20 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean Margie   Mon Oct 17 2005 10:49 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean ftlaudbob   Mon Oct 17 2005 09:29 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean Margie   Mon Oct 17 2005 08:26 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean Hugh   Mon Oct 17 2005 08:01 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean Random Chaos   Mon Oct 17 2005 07:54 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean typhoon_tip   Mon Oct 17 2005 11:29 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean NewWatcher   Mon Oct 17 2005 12:06 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean Steve H1   Mon Oct 17 2005 08:05 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Wilma Forms in the Western Caribbean NewWatcher   Mon Oct 17 2005 08:00 AM

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