At this point, it seems that anything is possible. The tracking for this storm is just too erratic. I was in the school of thought yesterday that believed it was going to track further north before it was all over. Then, the GFDL, GFC and BAMM went whacky, and the NHC revised its track back to landfall south of Naples (such as existed 24 hours before).
It would not surprise me if it ended up coming in at Punta Gorda/Venice/Sarasota, and following a Charley track.
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Generated May 13, 2024, 4:58:19 PM EDT
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center