I would agree that a further right track is possible. There is probably a wider range of possible scenarios in the short-term than there would be with most systems. A slowdown at some point soon seems inevitable, and the possibility for errors in the direction heading of the storm increase when the motion slows. Normally, that wouldn't be as big of a deal, but even a slight deviation in direction at this point will make a big difference for landfall point in the Yucutan and even whether it will make landfall there in the first place.
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Generated May 14, 2024, 2:21:37 PM EDT
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