I am in agreement with Tip , and I really can't see this lurking 40 hours down here. The southern solutions toaround 10000 Islands are taking this off the Yucatan at about 60-70 degrees and that just doesn't look like what the evidence shows. The trough to the west has shown a steeper amplitude than that, as Tip said suggesting almost NNE mechanism ahead to steer this off...that is too steep too in my opiinion so I'm compromising at around 45-50 degrees and up the coast a bit. A little quicker than Monday too.
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Generated May 14, 2024, 8:24:32 AM EDT
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center