If anything, I think there has been a slow northward drift. It also appears that the eye may be shrinking some on the most recent frames, so maybe it is going to try another ERC after all. The 12Z UKMET was the only recent model that never made a full Yucatan landfall with Wilma, basically having it parallel the coast for 36 hours. That was an outlier, but it seems to be the only model solution that isn't already too far west in its track.
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Generated May 14, 2024, 7:17:37 PM EDT
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