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Margie
Senior Storm Chaser


Reged: Fri
Posts: 1191
Loc: Twin Cities
Re: November, Slow But Watching the Southwestern Caribbean
      Fri Nov 04 2005 12:32 PM

As of this morning, conditions have become very much more favorable for development in the SW Carib...which is not to say that anything will develop. This is not reflected in the wording of the 1130 TWO, which does at least acknowledge the possibility.

Upper level anti-cyclonic motion is combined with three good possible outflow channels, low shear, and increasing vorticity, above the area of disturbed weather from the tropical wave.

Regardless, the continuing heavy rains are causing a huge problem for the coasts of Nicaragua and Honduras, still dealing with the effects of flooding from Beta.

* * * * *

Well more knowledgeable folks than myself disagree...from the aft TWD:

LARGE-SCALE CONDITIONS DON'T APPEAR TO BE VERY FAVORABLE FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT.

Is this because of all the dry air moving in strongly from the eastern Carib (can be seen on the floater)?

* * * * *

Mid-aft...please tell me I am seeing things. Looks like a LLC at about 12N between 80-82W, no assoc convection.

--------------------
Katrina's Surge: http://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/Katrinas_surge_contents.asp

Edited by Margie (Fri Nov 04 2005 03:47 PM)

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Subject Posted by Posted on
* November, Slow But Watching the Southwestern Caribbean MikeCAdministrator Fri Nov 04 2005 12:32 PM
. * * Re: November, Slow But Watching the Southwestern Caribbean Wingman51   Fri Nov 04 2005 08:35 AM
. * * Re: November, Slow But Watching the Southwestern Caribbean Margie   Fri Nov 04 2005 12:32 PM
. * * Re: November, Slow But Watching the Southwestern Caribbean danielwAdministrator   Sat Nov 05 2005 05:25 AM
. * * Re: November, Slow But Watching the Southwestern Caribbean Margie   Sat Nov 05 2005 10:08 AM
. * * Re: November, Slow But Watching the Southwestern Caribbean Storm Hunter   Sun Nov 06 2005 04:29 PM
. * * Re: November, Slow But Watching the Southwestern Caribbean Beaumont, TX   Sun Nov 06 2005 06:43 PM
. * * Re: November, Slow But Watching the Southwestern Caribbean Storm Hunter   Mon Nov 07 2005 01:22 AM
. * * Re: Wilam Article Lee-Delray   Mon Nov 07 2005 09:14 AM
. * * Re: Wilam Article ftlaudbob   Mon Nov 07 2005 09:31 AM
. * * Re: Wilma Article Lee-Delray   Mon Nov 07 2005 09:45 AM
. * * Re: Wilma Article Margie   Mon Nov 07 2005 12:34 PM
. * * Re: Wilma Article HanKFranK   Mon Nov 07 2005 04:41 PM
. * * Re: Wilma Article Margie   Mon Nov 07 2005 05:54 PM
. * * Re: Wilma Article Lysis   Mon Nov 07 2005 06:45 PM
. * * Re: Wilma Article Margie   Mon Nov 07 2005 10:46 PM
. * * Re: Wilma Article ftlaudbob   Tue Nov 08 2005 09:56 PM
. * * Re: Wilma Article Tropics Guy   Tue Nov 08 2005 10:14 PM
. * * Re: Wilma Article Random Chaos   Wed Nov 09 2005 07:14 AM
. * * looking out HanKFranK   Tue Nov 08 2005 01:41 AM
. * * Re: looking out Doombot!   Thu Nov 10 2005 02:29 AM
. * * Re: looking out Random Chaos   Thu Nov 10 2005 06:13 AM
. * * Re: looking out Clark   Thu Nov 10 2005 11:58 AM
. * * Re: looking out HanKFranK   Thu Nov 10 2005 01:20 PM
. * * Re: looking out *Killed -- Sent to Graveyard* damejune2   Thu Nov 10 2005 05:07 PM
. * * Re: looking out *Killed -- Sent to Graveyard* MapMaster   Thu Nov 10 2005 06:38 PM
. * * Re: looking out *Killed -- Sent to Graveyard* Random Chaos   Fri Nov 11 2005 06:48 PM
. * * Re: looking out *Killed -- Sent to Graveyard* Margie   Fri Nov 11 2005 08:56 PM
. * * Re: looking out *Killed -- Sent to Graveyard* HanKFranK   Sat Nov 12 2005 12:02 PM
. * * Re: looking out *Killed -- Sent to Graveyard* damejune2   Sat Nov 12 2005 06:42 PM
. * * 93L and 94L Two invest Form in One day in November! Starting to go Active again?!? NONAME   Sat Nov 12 2005 10:20 PM
. * * Re: 93L and 94L Two invest Form in One day in November! Starting to go Active again?!? Random Chaos   Sat Nov 12 2005 11:09 PM
. * * Re: 93L and 94L Two invest Form in One day in November! Starting to go Active again?!? HanKFranK   Sun Nov 13 2005 12:20 AM
. * * Re: 93L and 94L Two invest Form in One day in November! Starting to go Active again?!? Margie   Sun Nov 13 2005 12:57 AM
. * * Re: 93L and 94L Two invest Form in One day in November! Starting to go Active again?!? Random Chaos   Sun Nov 13 2005 09:36 AM
. * * Re: 93L and 94L Two invest Form in One day in November! Starting to go Active again?!? CaneTrackerInSoFl   Sun Nov 13 2005 01:18 PM
. * * Re: 93L and 94L Two invest Form in One day in November! Starting to go Active again?!? NONAME   Sun Nov 13 2005 07:52 PM
. * * Re: 93L and 94L Two invest Form in One day in November! Starting to go Active again?!? Old Sailor   Sun Nov 13 2005 08:07 PM
. * * Re: 93L and 94L Two invest Form in One day in November! Starting to go Active again?!? CaneTrackerInSoFl   Sun Nov 13 2005 09:16 PM
. * * TD 27 CaneTrackerInSoFl   Sun Nov 13 2005 09:52 PM
. * * Re: TD 27 Doombot!   Sun Nov 13 2005 11:03 PM
. * * Re: TD 27 Margie   Sun Nov 13 2005 10:16 PM
. * * Re: TD 27 Hurricane Dad   Sun Nov 13 2005 10:44 PM
. * * 93L Old Sailor   Sat Nov 12 2005 03:10 PM
. * * Re: 93L CoalCracker   Sat Nov 12 2005 04:51 PM
. * * Re: looking out Clark   Thu Nov 10 2005 06:10 PM
. * * Re: looking out *Killed -- Sent to Graveyard* Lee-Delray   Thu Nov 10 2005 05:14 PM
. * * Re: looking out Random Chaos   Thu Nov 10 2005 05:50 PM
. * * Re: looking out Lee-Delray   Thu Nov 10 2005 05:37 PM
. * * Re: looking out Margie   Thu Nov 10 2005 06:11 PM
. * * Re: looking out Lee-Delray   Thu Nov 10 2005 07:54 AM
. * * Re: looking out Margie   Thu Nov 10 2005 11:32 AM
. * * Re: November, Slow But Watching the Southwestern Caribbean doug   Fri Nov 04 2005 12:32 PM

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