I too would question the forecast strength, especially given the current shear, and the forecast upper-level conditions. wouldnt be surprised to see it absorbed by the frontal system sooner than indicated. However, it does pose a real threat to south Fla, admittedly not as a major system, but a potentially dangerous system nonetheless.
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Generated May 13, 2024, 8:05:21 PM EDT
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center