I think it is going to be a little to far to the west on the current track for Hong Kong to get the worst, but since it's at least several days out it's not really possible to gauge. Close enough for discomfort though because the most recent JTWC warning (#17) now has the typhoon not missing a beat while travelling over the Philippines, and up to 125kts in 60 hrs! (I think because it'll get some good outflow going, coming under that high?). However -- weakening to 105kts before landfall, still a significant storm. Something to definitely watch early next week, and possibly some spectacular sat images for Sunday night and Monday morning, while it is still well over the open ocean.
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Generated May 18, 2024, 10:50:37 PM EDT
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center