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ClarkModerator
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Posts: 1710
Re: 91E consolidating
      Thu May 25 2006 08:48 PM

Agree wholeheartedly with HF's assessment of this developing disturbance. It's got some semblance of an outflow jet to the north and northeast, but this feature is also leading to some weak-moderate shear over the storm. Nothing too big, however. The SSTs that it is near are really warm -- 30C -- but the waters along the coastline are a touch shallow. Nothing like what Adrian encountered last year, however. Some odd runs of the GFS wanted to take this toward the Isthmus of Tehuantepec; it could happen, but I don't think it's the most likely scenario. Further west is more likely. Figure it's got a fair shot at some intensification, outside shot at minimal hurricane intensity.

Just my personal view...and not my forecast

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Invest 91E is up Margie Thu May 25 2006 08:48 PM
. * * Re: Invest 91E is up Spoken   Wed May 24 2006 09:22 PM
. * * Re: Invest 91E is up ClarkModerator   Wed May 24 2006 10:34 PM
. * * Re: Invest 91E is up danielwAdministrator   Wed May 24 2006 11:07 PM
. * * Re: Invest 91E is up ClarkModerator   Wed May 24 2006 11:13 PM
. * * 91E consolidating HanKFranK   Thu May 25 2006 03:30 PM
. * * Re: 91E consolidating ClarkModerator   Thu May 25 2006 08:48 PM
. * * Made my week Margie   Fri May 26 2006 02:05 PM
. * * Re: Made my week ClarkModerator   Fri May 26 2006 02:14 PM
. * * And now, back to our regularly-scheduled programming. Margie   Fri May 26 2006 02:45 PM
. * * poking along HanKFranK   Sat May 27 2006 02:22 AM
. * * Re: poking along Deep Surge   Sat May 27 2006 03:46 AM
. * * Re: poking along CaneTrackerInSoFl   Sat May 27 2006 10:27 AM
. * * Re: poking along Margie   Sat May 27 2006 11:05 AM
. * * 11am -- Aletta Margie   Sat May 27 2006 01:57 PM
. * * cross-cut HanKFranK   Sat May 27 2006 06:22 PM
. * * Re: cross-cut NONAME   Sun May 28 2006 10:28 AM
. * * Re: cross-cut Deep Surge   Sun May 28 2006 04:55 PM
. * * Aletta danielwAdministrator   Mon May 29 2006 01:56 AM
. * * Re: Aletta Margie   Mon May 29 2006 09:34 AM
. * * Re: Aletta Margie   Mon May 29 2006 08:38 PM
. * * Re: Aletta danielwAdministrator   Mon May 29 2006 08:55 PM
. * * Re: Aletta Storm Cooper   Mon May 29 2006 09:08 PM
. * * Re: Aletta Deep Surge   Mon May 29 2006 09:28 PM
. * * Re: Aletta danielwAdministrator   Mon May 29 2006 09:36 PM
. * * Re: Aletta Margie   Mon May 29 2006 11:01 PM
. * * Re: Aletta ClarkModerator   Tue May 30 2006 02:02 PM
. * * Re: Aletta Margie   Mon May 29 2006 09:23 PM
. * * Re: Aletta danielwAdministrator   Mon May 29 2006 09:27 PM
. * * Re: 91E consolidating amonty   Thu May 25 2006 04:13 PM
. * * Re: 91E consolidating ClarkModerator   Thu May 25 2006 04:19 PM
. * * Re: Invest 91E is up Spoken   Wed May 24 2006 07:53 PM
. * * Re: Invest 91E is up ShanaTX   Tue May 23 2006 03:37 PM

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