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HanKFranK User Reged: Mon Posts: 1841 Loc: Graniteville, SC Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea       Tue Jun 13 2006 05:32 PM Edit   Reply   Quote   Quick Reply   this's the wave i've been yammering about for about a week. it looks impressive right now, but if it does anything it'll probably get shunted into belize or something. some of the earlier global runs had a stronger weakness near texas that could draw it up from there... later runs are showing heights building across the northern caribbean all the way to the yucatan and driving the wave straight west later in the week. probably too far west for a significant system to turn up. don't think it's chances are all that high. model support has been fickle to say the least. upper winds should be mighty friendly on it by about thursday, though... so i guess nothing is impossible. mind we've already had an above average june. the waves out over the altantic look more like august waves than june ones. gfs is building a low with either one... some of the other globals see similar things. the front one at 40w is quite impressive if not a convective marvel, and is more or less on track to move over warm ssts under generally low shear. broad and dealing with plenty of dry air (and some pushy trades as well), so anything out of it would be slow. the one further east is probably model voodoo like clark says. if it got detached from the itcz like shown it would also run up over cool ssts and mess itself anyway. hasn't been a tropical storm east of the islands in june since 1979; it just isn't something to bank on. june 2000 and 2003 both produced june depressions that lasted a couple of forecast cycles, however. harder to brush this kind of stuff off after last year, though. HF 2232z13june Post Extras

Entire topic Subject Posted by Posted on Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea Ed Dunham Tue Jun 13 2006 05:32 PM Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea B.C.Francis   Tue Jun 13 2006 04:32 PM Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea Stormwatchin' Dan   Tue Jun 13 2006 04:37 PM Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea Stormwatchin' Dan   Tue Jun 13 2006 03:55 PM Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea Nateball   Tue Jun 13 2006 04:03 PM Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea madmumbler   Tue Jun 13 2006 04:09 PM Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea Stormwatchin' Dan   Tue Jun 13 2006 04:24 PM Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea Clark   Tue Jun 13 2006 05:04 PM Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea danielw   Tue Jun 13 2006 07:22 PM Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea NewWatcher   Tue Jun 13 2006 07:42 PM Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea madmumbler   Tue Jun 13 2006 08:57 PM Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea Storm Cooper   Tue Jun 13 2006 09:00 PM Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea madmumbler   Tue Jun 13 2006 09:12 PM Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea ftlaudbob   Tue Jun 13 2006 10:28 PM Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea Clark   Wed Jun 14 2006 12:31 AM Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea Stormwatchin' Dan   Wed Jun 14 2006 12:46 AM Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea BullitNutz   Wed Jun 14 2006 01:43 AM Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea madmumbler   Wed Jun 14 2006 07:09 AM Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea HURRICANELONNY   Wed Jun 14 2006 08:20 AM Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea newbie   Wed Jun 14 2006 10:32 AM Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea steve5304   Wed Jun 14 2006 10:48 AM Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea Reaper   Wed Jun 14 2006 11:06 AM Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea steve5304   Wed Jun 14 2006 11:32 AM Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea Jenny   Wed Jun 14 2006 11:52 AM Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea AgnesOfHell   Wed Jun 14 2006 12:09 PM Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea CaneTrackerInSoFl   Wed Jun 14 2006 12:40 PM Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea Stormwatchin' Dan   Wed Jun 14 2006 01:05 PM Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea Jenny   Wed Jun 14 2006 05:44 PM Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea BullitNutz   Wed Jun 14 2006 06:42 PM Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea NewWatcher   Wed Jun 14 2006 07:20 PM Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea Storm Cooper   Wed Jun 14 2006 07:34 PM Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea sara33   Wed Jun 14 2006 08:12 PM Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea Thomas Giella   Wed Jun 14 2006 10:36 PM Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea Stormwatchin' Dan   Wed Jun 14 2006 11:40 PM Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea Stormwatchin' Dan   Thu Jun 15 2006 01:58 PM Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea Storm Cooper   Wed Jun 14 2006 08:25 PM Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea dem05   Wed Jun 14 2006 08:39 PM Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea sara33   Wed Jun 14 2006 08:45 PM Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea HanKFranK   Wed Jun 14 2006 09:36 PM Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea sara33   Wed Jun 14 2006 09:41 PM Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea madmumbler   Fri Jun 16 2006 09:52 AM Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea sara33   Fri Jun 16 2006 10:23 PM Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea madmumbler   Wed Jun 14 2006 06:25 PM Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea nl   Wed Jun 14 2006 06:34 PM Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea Kimberley Clark   Wed Jun 14 2006 12:15 PM Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea steve5304   Wed Jun 14 2006 12:07 PM Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea Clark   Wed Jun 14 2006 04:42 PM Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea Nateball   Wed Jun 14 2006 12:17 PM Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea Nateball   Wed Jun 14 2006 12:06 PM Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea Jenny   Wed Jun 14 2006 10:56 AM Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea newbie   Wed Jun 14 2006 10:59 AM Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea GuppieGrouper   Tue Jun 13 2006 10:28 PM Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea BullitNutz   Tue Jun 13 2006 10:56 PM Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea Stormwatchin' Dan   Tue Jun 13 2006 11:01 PM Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea danielw   Tue Jun 13 2006 11:58 PM Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea madmumbler   Tue Jun 13 2006 09:10 PM Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea nl   Tue Jun 13 2006 07:51 PM Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea Stormwatchin' Dan   Tue Jun 13 2006 08:08 PM Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea Jenny   Tue Jun 13 2006 08:18 PM Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea West FL Jess   Tue Jun 13 2006 11:51 PM Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea Stormwatchin' Dan   Tue Jun 13 2006 11:53 PM Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea Nateball   Tue Jun 13 2006 11:58 PM Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea Stormwatchin' Dan   Wed Jun 14 2006 12:01 AM Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea Stormwatchin' Dan   Tue Jun 13 2006 08:23 PM Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea Storm Cooper   Tue Jun 13 2006 08:31 PM Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea Jenny   Tue Jun 13 2006 08:43 PM Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea fatcat475   Tue Jun 13 2006 08:57 PM Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea Stormwatchin' Dan   Tue Jun 13 2006 05:08 PM Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea HanKFranK   Tue Jun 13 2006 05:32 PM Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea Stormwatchin' Dan   Tue Jun 13 2006 05:34 PM Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea Black Pearl   Tue Jun 13 2006 05:47 PM

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