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cause I probably got it all wrong, I think a serious storm will head initially west, then over the next couple days head sw, and on or about three days from now make a loop and head towards the sw and end up on the western shores of Florida in about 6 to 7 days from now. Further, I do not see much happening with

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The cluster is already well west of Florida. How is it going to continue moving west and southwest and end up on the western shores of Florida in a week?

Based upon the current satellite image, I don't think development is likely in the near term. IF it were to develop, I'd expect it to pretty much sit where it is until the front come down and picks it up. Final destination, probably east of New Orleans to somewhere around the Big Bend area. If the front doesn't pick it up, it might just move west into Texas, or dissipate (most likely I think).

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Hugh

Eloise (1975) - Elena and several other near misses (1985) - Erin & Opal (1995) - Ivan (2004)

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