News Talkback >> 2007 Storm Forum
Previous thread Previous   View all threads Index   Next thread Next   Flat Mode Flat  

LoisCane
Veteran Storm Chaser


Reged: Fri
Posts: 1236
Loc: South Florida
Re: The 2007 Outlook
      Mon Apr 30 2007 04:13 PM

I was going to say 15 but decided to up it to 16. I think we have a shot at Pablo. Not very high confidence wise but either it's a busy season or it's not and the water is hot from what I have read and seen. Where they go? Don't know and tempted to call a lot of recurvature type storms in which case we could have a lot of majors but safely out at sea.

Very hard to call this far out. Dust kicks up usually this time of year but whether it stays there or not will be the teller if we have long trackers. I'd say a lot of storms forming around 50-55. A lot of Caribbean storms.

If the high builds in strong we could have lower storms that get further into the Gulf, it's been a while since the Western Gulf had to really worry.

One consistent thing you do see from the analog years in Dr. Gray's report 52, 64, 66, 95 and 2003 is that Florida got hit from the backside as some storm recurved on the SW side of the bermuda high. 2003 is hard to add in there but the west coast was affected by a storm cutting across the state as well. 2003 was a little bizarre and hardest to see a pattern. But... is compelling when you look at the charts from those years to see such patterns.. as well as a lot of dancing out at sea but Atlantic Canes.

So... I'll go with 16 7 and 4

Thanks for letting me join in and read all of your thoughts.

--------------------
http://hurricaneharbor.blogspot.com/

Post Extras Print Post   Remind Me!     Notify Moderator


Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* The 2007 Outlook Ed DunhamAdministrator Mon Apr 30 2007 04:13 PM
. * * Re: The 2007 Outlook Psyber   Wed May 16 2007 10:04 AM
. * * Re: The 2007 Outlook CDMOrlando   Sat May 12 2007 05:00 PM
. * * Re: The 2007 Outlook Clark   Wed May 09 2007 12:17 AM
. * * Re: The 2007 Outlook Valandil   Thu Apr 26 2007 03:35 AM
. * * Re: The 2007 Outlook Hurricane29   Thu Apr 26 2007 10:54 AM
. * * Re: The 2007 Outlook DMFischer   Wed Apr 25 2007 04:09 PM
. * * Re: The 2007 Outlook HURRICANELONNY   Wed Apr 25 2007 05:09 PM
. * * Re: The 2007 Outlook Ed DunhamAdministrator   Thu Apr 26 2007 12:33 AM
. * * Re: The 2007 Outlook stormchazer   Sun Apr 22 2007 09:12 AM
. * * Re: The 2007 Outlook MadDog   Mon May 07 2007 08:54 AM
. * * Re: The 2007 Outlook John C   Wed Apr 18 2007 09:17 PM
. * * Re: The 2007 Outlook Bloodstar   Wed Apr 18 2007 02:29 PM
. * * Re: The 2007 Outlook Robert A   Mon Apr 02 2007 10:25 PM
. * * Re: The 2007 Outlook dem05   Tue Apr 03 2007 03:30 AM
. * * Re: The 2007 Outlook Ed DunhamAdministrator   Fri Mar 30 2007 10:09 AM
. * * Re: The 2007 Outlook Ed DunhamAdministrator   Tue Apr 03 2007 11:18 AM
. * * Re: The 2007 Outlook MikeCAdministrator   Fri Apr 27 2007 12:04 AM
. * * Re: The 2007 Outlook HCW   Sun Apr 29 2007 11:48 AM
. * * Re: The 2007 Outlook NewWatcher   Mon Apr 30 2007 09:15 AM
. * * Re: The 2007 Outlook SkeetoBiteAdministrator   Mon Apr 30 2007 01:08 PM
. * * Re: The 2007 Outlook native   Mon Apr 30 2007 03:42 PM
. * * Re: The 2007 Outlook LoisCane   Mon Apr 30 2007 04:13 PM
. * * Re: The 2007 Outlook Lamar-Plant City   Tue May 01 2007 04:46 PM
. * * Re: The 2007 Outlook Ed DunhamAdministrator   Thu May 03 2007 09:47 AM
. * * Re: The 2007 Outlook Ed DunhamAdministrator   Wed May 09 2007 08:55 PM
. * * Re: The 2007 Outlook Ed DunhamAdministrator   Wed May 16 2007 11:48 PM
. * * Re: The 2007 Outlook Lysis   Fri May 18 2007 03:58 PM
. * * Re: The 2007 Outlook Lysis   Tue May 22 2007 06:08 PM
. * * Re: The 2007 Outlook cieldumort   Wed May 16 2007 11:43 PM
. * * Re: The 2007 Outlook weather_wise911   Wed May 09 2007 09:18 PM
. * * Re: The 2007 Outlook sara33   Fri May 04 2007 07:19 PM
. * * Re: The 2007 Outlook HanKFranK   Sun May 06 2007 12:41 AM
. * * Re: The 2007 Outlook Bee-Beep   Wed Apr 04 2007 02:18 PM
. * * Re: The 2007 Outlook doug   Tue Mar 27 2007 12:33 PM
. * * Re: The 2007 Outlook madmumbler   Sun Mar 25 2007 09:24 AM
. * * Re: The 2007 Outlook Tak   Sat Mar 24 2007 08:04 AM
. * * Re: The 2007 Outlook MetOc   Tue Mar 20 2007 01:53 PM
. * * Re: The 2007 Outlook Hurricane29   Tue Mar 20 2007 02:56 PM
. * * Re: The 2007 Outlook VMI Bran   Mon Mar 12 2007 08:08 AM
. * * Re: The 2007 Outlook saluki   Mon Mar 12 2007 10:25 PM
. * * Re: The 2007 Outlook ftlaudbob   Thu Mar 15 2007 06:29 PM
. * * Re: The 2007 Outlook Storm Cooper   Sun Mar 11 2007 04:20 PM
. * * Re: The 2007 Outlook allan   Sun Mar 11 2007 06:47 PM
. * * Re: The 2007 Outlook Myles   Sun Mar 11 2007 11:46 PM

Extra information
0 registered and 0 anonymous users are browsing this forum.

Moderator:  MikeC, Ed Dunham, danielw 



Forum Permissions
      You cannot start new topics
      You cannot reply to topics
      HTML is disabled
      UBBCode is enabled

Rating:
Thread views: 27352

Rate this thread

Jump to
Mobile Home - Login - Normal Flhurricane Site
This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources.
Generated May 18, 2024, 5:15:04 PM EDT
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center