FLHurricane.com: Re: The Trouble With May

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Ed Dunham
Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017)

Reged: Sun
Posts: 2565
Loc: Melbourne, FL

Re: The Trouble With May
Wed May 30 2007 07:00 PM

It doesn't really change anything because you still have to start your database with the fact that your first storm was in May. If the next storm is in June or August, you only have 5 historical events to work with - and 4 if the next storm is in July. Those numbers are probably way too small to be considered a useful statistical sample. Even the 14 events in May is a mighty small sample. Of far more interest to me was that no matter how small the sample, if a storm had developed in May, later on in the season the U.S. mainland had a tropical storm or hurricane landfall (so far). However, all of the numbers are there in the main blog, so you can develop the new percentages yourself if you wish, but the 'landfall' reality would still be there from a climatological point of view.
Cheers,
ED

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Subject	Posted by	Posted on
Re: The Trouble With May	Valandil	Wed May 30 2007 07:00 PM
Re: The Trouble With May	Ed Dunham	Wed May 30 2007 07:00 PM
Re: The Trouble With May	doug	Sat Aug 21 2010 11:13 AM

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