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Well as said much earlier in the day if the ULL stalls out before or around 90-95 West it might bring the track further north, but Im thinking that probably wont happen.

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Anything is possible, though. Indeed, I've been looking at the ULL periodically today, and it has at times looked like it was stalling. Dean has obviously continued moving due west, though - but that makes sense because there was some distance between the two systems. Now, however, the inflow into the ULL, so to speak, is very close to the edge of Dean's moisture envelope. Will it be enough to yank Dean northward? The models do not think so, and neither does the NHC. I would put the possibility at something greater than zero, but I don't know how much (not high, at this point, but keep an eye on it).



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Hugh

Eloise (1975) - Elena and several other near misses (1985) - Erin & Opal (1995) - Ivan (2004)


Edited by Hugh (Sun Aug 19 2007 10:29 PM)

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