Quote:

---

Now can some tell me if theres convection over 98L's low or is it displace to the west of the low?

---

Yes,
currently convection is successfully produced but is being displaced west, away from the preceived axis of weakly closed surface circulation...

Wind overlay out of TPCs satellite division shows a fairly strong shear environment still in the area, which of course is also supported by the fact that we can visibly see the activity blowing toward the west.

Can never be certain exactly when this will relax but the better hope for 98L is for it to move west toward the divergence noted earlier in this thread... Lighter upper air winds that are parting company would prove a much healthier environment for development. Until that happens, I would not think this would do anything very quickly so long as the upper level east-southeasterly jet of 20 to 25kts persists.

Every season it seems there is at least one fighter.

Post Extras