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While it is true that the Forecast Lounge is not as strictly moderated, it is also true that an extreme forecast without any rationale amounts to hype - which is not permitted. If we allowed it, we would be no better than some of the other sites on the net where almost anything goes - and we at least strive (not always successfully) to be a little bit more informative and a little less unstructured. It actually usually works out for the benefit of most folks when things really get threatening. Trust goes a long way when you want to know whats really going on. If a storm is going to be really bad, some of the knowledgeable folks on the site will be the first to let you know.

It is worth noting that the initial tropical model suite from NHC places the storm inland in the Louisiana/Mississippi area in 48 hours and the SHIPS model suggests a maximum wind speed of 40 knots at landfall - but only if it organizes better than it currently is.
Cheers,
ED

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Thanks if you can just delete the topic all together then, thanks

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I won't, we could be wrong. Humberto happened. We just explained why it isn't all that likely.

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