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hey, anyone looked at it in the past 6hr loop? Erika just seemed to double in size in the past 2-3 images? is this due to less UL winds or possibly warmer waters? just wondering, also looks like a jog to the west???

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Looking at the unenhanced IR, it seems that the blow-off from westerly shear has lessened a bit. This might explain the expansion in size, might it? That big convection explosion also seems to have produced an explosion of the outer higher level clouds that make it look much larger. It HAS expanded. Keep us in Central Fla posted on this sucker. Odd that I should be hoping the storm STRENGTHENS so that it has a better chance to be pulled northward and away from us. Higher shear ahead (although the tendancy seems to show it decreasing) may keep me from getting my wish. Odd year so far overall, though so I shouldn't be surprised!!

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2023 Season Prediction: 17/6/2

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