The answers are 'yes' - and the El Nino has been a major contributor to the strength and the persistence of the southern branch of the jetstream. Given the massive areas of the Gulf with expected windshear in excess of 40mph, the likelyhood of a strong storm in the Gulf is mighty slim. If we are lucky, Florida will get some much needed rain - but even that prospect is still uncertain if the storm gets shoved to the south by the building ridge over the southeast. ED
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Generated May 19, 2024, 2:45:37 AM EDT
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center