Thr latest NCEP SST Outlook issued on May 23rd confirms an earlier end to El Nino conditions and a more modest La Nina in the ENSO 3.4 region for the next six months (or more). With consideration for this trend I'm going to nudge my seasonal outlook to 11/7/3. Note that 1966 replaces 1958 as the best analog year. There are some SST trends that support the season getting underway in July rather than August. You still have a few more days to throw your hat into the ring with your own forecast for the season. The latest CSU forecast is scheduled for release on June 2nd, and this thread will close on May 31st. Cheers, ED
Forum Permissions
You cannot start new topics
You cannot reply to topics
HTML is disabled
UBBCode is enabled
Rating:
Thread views: 26093
Mobile Home
- Login
- Normal Flhurricane Site This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources.
Generated May 19, 2024, 3:52:58 AM EDT
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center