cieldumort
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Loc: Austin, Tx
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"Agatha" Reemerges in Caribbean - June 1st Now Atlantic Invest 91L -
Mon May 31 2010 09:27 AM
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Remnant lower to mid-level circulation associated with former eastern Pacific Tropical Storm Agatha has redeveloped this morning in the western Caribbean, and is currently experiencing a noteworthy convective blowup over the anomalously warm waters there.
Conditions appear somewhat favorable for further development. ie: wind shear is low and there is outflow over the system, water temps are very supportive, surface pressures are low, etc.
It is not clear at this time if a definitive surface circulation exists within this convective complex, but if not, one could easily form over the course of the next 48 hours.
For future motion, throw out any models you may be looking at. It is much too early, and besides, they are still working off runs that show "Agatha" stuck over central America. A stall, or a trend toward the north and/or northeast is conceivable in the short term considering the steering currents at play early this week.
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Edited by cieldumort (Tue Jun 01 2010 01:55 PM)
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