MikeC
Admin
Reged: Sun
Posts: 4543
Loc: Orlando, FL
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Central Caribbean Wave (93L) Forecast Lounge
Mon Jun 21 2010 06:53 AM
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I'm putting up a forecast lounge entry for the wave in the East Caribbean (currently not an invest), because of the model runs which are sure to catch a few folks off guard.
In particular:
The model is in the lounge since I think models this far out are about worthless, but it may bring some discussion.
Other models, such as the GFS don't show this right now, although the Canadian hints at it too.
Track wise, Long range it could be Yucatan, or Gulf. More likely because of the overall pattern and model performance in the past, 93L will more likely move toward the Yucatan.
The SHIPS intensity model is fairly high on the end too. The GFS Model doesn't develop it at all yet, and the NAM suggest the Yucatan route.
Hype surely will be high with this--but It is still June, and the early intensity and track models are usually garbage.
If the models are still showing this by tomorrow night, then it may be worth something.
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