Hugh
Senior Storm Chaser
Reged: Fri
Posts: 1060
Loc: Okaloosa County, Florida
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Re: East Caribbean Wave (93L) Forecast Lounge
Mon Jun 21 2010 10:15 PM
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The GFDL being "too far north" is somewhat concerning to me... since it actually appears to put the system EAST of me in the long long term now. Swing it a bit south, and it paints a nice ugly bullseye on me, doesn't it?
Anything that gets into the Gulf is going to be a DISASTER, whereever it eventually ends up. I don't mean in terms of intensity, although the water is HOT out there, climatology not withstanding. The oil is what is going to make it a sticky situation (pun intended).
My gut tells me that 93L develops and follows a classic Yucatan Channel track, but once it gets into the Gulf, I don't even want to speculate at this point!
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Hugh
Eloise (1975) - Elena and several other near misses (1985) - Erin & Opal (1995) - Ivan (2004)
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