Not much happening with 93L this morning. It is in an area where storms usually do not develop even in august/sept.
As the wave moves west i think it will be in a more favorable area for slow development. Maybe a TD in 36 hours and a weak TS in 48.
Upper level conditions still appear positive, but not much is happening at the surface. I don't see a lot of thunderstorms, in fact there appears to be less weather with this system than there was yesterday when it was just clearing the islands. I don't see any substained TS activity to indicate the wave is getting better organized.
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Generated May 19, 2024, 12:19:47 AM EDT
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center