stormtiger
Weather Hobbyist
Reged: Thu
Posts: 73
Loc: Baton Rouge, La.
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Re: East Caribbean Wave (93L) Forecast Lounge
Wed Jun 23 2010 02:09 PM
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93L has been very interesting to watch.
We've had good upper level conditions, little sheer, very warm water,a nd plenty of time to see a TD develop; but without substained thunderstorm activity and a low level spin we won't see anything soon.
Right now we have a nice upper level high that can be seen on water vapor loops, with three blobs of weather under it. The three "blobs" appear to be fighting each other for energy with none winning out, yet.
I had suspected by noon today (CDT) we would have seen things getting organized and a TD form late tonite; but that's not happening. In fact all we see is an ebb and flow as the individuals areas of disturbed weather grow and weaken.
I can't see a Td form before tomorrow at the earliest and if that is to happen, we need to see better organization and that isn't happening.
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