First real model runs keep it further south, but it's too early to tell. intensity wise, the SHIPS model is shooting this up to hurricane late in the week.
the westerly track of the early models with the hint of southward motion isn't all that unlikely, but it's probably too far south.
It the system were to approach Florida it would be over the weekend.
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Generated May 18, 2024, 5:15:59 PM EDT
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center