The 18z models are trending further to the southwest. This places the NHC's track to the east of the model consensus. At this rate, I wonder if the Southeast coast needs to keep a closer eye on the path of Colin since the models are beginning to show it curving back towards the west as it approaches Florida. Even if Colin weakens in the short term, the Caribbean could cause it to wind back up IF it continues toward the west.
-------------------- 2011 Season Forecast: 16/09/04
2011 Systems: 10/01/01
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Generated May 19, 2024, 4:18:43 AM EDT
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center