Always take long range models with a large spoon of salt. Out Past 5 days there is just too much uncertainty as has been the case with Colin for example. Several long range models back late last week had Colin as a decent hurricane just off the coast of Miami at 192 hours. As you can see that was WAY off. For me, they seem to be useful for long term trends, just don't put too much stock in them past 100 hours. That's my non-expert opinion anyways. The experts here may have a different view....
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2023 Season Prediction: 17/6/2
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Generated May 16, 2024, 8:52:25 AM EDT
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center