FLHurricane.com: Igor Forecast Lounge

Looking at the water vapor, it appears to me that Igor should start moving more west-northwest to northwest around 20N, 55W. I think Igor takes a NW turn do to the second trough, then as a ridge builds, Igor may steer WNW south of Bermuda. After that, It's up in the air what else could happen. Another trough may recurve it, that being the best scenario to look at right now, or a weak trough lifts it north along the East Coast.

The forecast for Igor believe it or not is actually a VERY complicated forecast. The two troughs appear to me to be too far north to really recurve it, the third one which is coming out of Canada in a few days is the one that is supposed to do it all the way. The question is when and where. I believe Igor will move south of Bermuda, then start turning north from there. Also where will the high be? If the high shifts east and strengthens, Igor will become a problem for the southeast. I'm really skeptical of it recurving "harmlessly" out to sea at this time. I need a few more days to see how far west Igor can make it before the turn occurs. This is a forecast of mine and is posted in the forecast lounge.

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Allan Reed - 18,9,5

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