Last nights GFS (0z) had it going into South Florida and then rakin gthe coast all the way to New York City. Others this morning are more into Pensacola.
HRWF keeps it over water and near Western Cuba, with a lean toward Florida.
Euro slams it into Honduras/Nicaragua then back over water, clips western Cuba and into Southwest Florida. (Hits florida overnight Sep 30 into oct 1).
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Generated May 13, 2024, 6:35:26 PM EDT
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center