allan
Weather Master
Reged: Thu
Posts: 468
Loc: Palm Coast, Florida
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Re: Western Caribbean Forecast Lounge
Mon Sep 27 2010 02:56 PM
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The situation is complicated, but the track is a no brainer. You have a nice trough digging into the southeast, bringing Florida a winter-like pattern. All that tropical moisture needs to go somewhere. As I constantly stated for days and days, whether it be Matthew or his remnants, eventually the left overs will move north. Though the complicating situation is the strength of the storm. Sure we have alot of warm water, but with so much convection and heat, it's going to be hard for it to really get going. Think of Alex.. Took 4 days to get going. I believe a weak to moderate TS will hit Florida in a few days, with a possibly more potent system for the Carolinas as it travels through the Gulf Stream. That's my thoughts on everything. I'm not ready to talk about the next system yet, too early to tell. 
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Allan Reed - 18,9,5
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