FLHurricane.com: Area of Interest

Yep Michael, could'nt agree more. An even greater concern with an intensifying system that might only feel a slight tug from the near term short wave, is if Paula should deepen just enough to in fact be pulled to the north of W. Cuba, and then just sit or meander/drift north or eastward awaiting the stronger digging front later in the cycle. Such a set up would situate the Florida Keys in the N.E. sector ( not to mention the waves of moisture pulled north over Western Cuba and S. Florida ). Will be interesting to see how much of a dynamic Paula's own upper anticyclone plays in warming the environment and further shoving the westerlies northward.

Very eager to see how quickly model support comes together on speed and motion, now that we have a finite vortex with a true initial fix. I imagine we'll have more planes flying in and around this one than typical. Close enough to garner a tremendous amount of data ( along with enough accurate downstream data taken over the Conus ). I'm guessing NHC will likely hone in pretty well on Paula's future track by the early runs tomorrow.

Edited by Ed Dunham (Mon Oct 11 2010 11:29 PM)

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