Ed Dunham
Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017)
Reged: Sun
Posts: 2565
Loc: Melbourne, FL
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Re: Tomas Forecast Lounge
Mon Nov 01 2010 05:45 PM
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Well no - since satellite images are highly perishable, i.e., they can change significantly with time. If you didn't see the structure of Tomas this morning I can see where my comments might be a bit confusing.
This morning Tomas was just a swirl of low-level clouds and all of the heavy convective storm clouds had been shoved off to the northeast of the center of the low cloud swirl by a distance of at least 100 miles. Strong southwesterly winds at the mid and upper levels of the atmosphere had caused this decoupling of the low level center from its convective cloud mass. Earlier this afternoon, the southwesterly winds began to decrease and the convection began to build back toward the center of the low level swirl of Tomas. Now that the convection has developed back over the low level center, additional weakening is not likely - at least not for awhile.
ED
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