A very good and well thought analysis. Also, looking at the vis sat loop, it appears to me that the exposed CC may be broadening indicating that it may be filling in/spinning down some (at least in the short term). If the storm survives long enough to reposition over the warmer waters of the Gulf Stream, it may have a chance to hang together a while longer.
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Generated May 17, 2024, 4:54:47 AM EDT
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center