MichaelA
Weather Analyst
Reged: Thu
Posts: 945
Loc: Pinellas Park, FL
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Re: Tropical Storm Alberto Dealing with Constraints
Sun May 20 2012 03:03 PM
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Checking in and looking at the latest RGB and Water Vapor loops, there is a new flare up of convection near the CoC but just on the western side and the dry air has wrapped around nearly 3/4 of the way around the center. Also, cloud tops are being blown off to the west and NW. It wouldn't surprise me if Alberto simply died in place or actually moved onshore.
The 5PM discussion states that there are plenty of environmental concerns with Alberto's future development, if any. On the latest sat loops, the little bit of convection has moved to the center, but that is about the only convection associated with the storm. Water vapor still shows significant dry air all around Alberto. On another note, it does appear that the loop is beginning with Alberto drifting more southward in the later loop pics. With the really harsh environment, I don't see Alberto gaining any significant strength before he becomes post tropical in the next day or two.
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Michael
PWS
Edited by MichaelA (Sun May 20 2012 06:13 PM)
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