***SPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 255 PM EDT FRI MAY 25
1. A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE...CENTERED ABOUT 275 MILES SOUTHEAST OF THE COAST OF THE CAROLINAS...IS PRODUCING WINDS TO GALE FORCE MAINLY TO THE NORTHEAST AND SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER. THE LOW HAS BECOME A LITTLE BETTER DEFINED THIS AFTERNOON...ALTHOUGH THE ASSOCIATED SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED DUE TO STRONG UPPER-LEVEL WINDS. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME MORE CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT ON SATURDAY OR SUNDAY...AND THIS SYSTEM HAS A HIGH CHANCE...80 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL OR SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. LITTLE MOTION IS EXPECTED TODAY...BUT A WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD OR SOUTHWESTWARD MOTION SHOULD BEGIN TOMORROW AND CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY. COASTAL INTERESTS FROM THE CAROLINAS SOUTHWARD THROUGH NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM OVER THE MEMORIAL DAY WEEKEND.***
Greetings everyone. Looks like NHC is getting bullish on this system (developmentally at least), but not shockingly the models don't have a good handle on this system yet. Can anyone take an educated guess on the upper end this system can obtain based on SST's / climatology?
Forum Permissions
You cannot start new topics
You cannot reply to topics
HTML is disabled
UBBCode is enabled
Rating:
Thread views: 5632
Mobile Home
- Login
- Normal Flhurricane Site This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources.
Generated May 18, 2024, 5:32:59 AM EDT
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center