Just a quick look at the Caribbean this a.m. shows a good deal more convection in the far W. Caribbean. While I think the convection a bit farther east is transitory, am a slight bit curious about the 48-60 hr. GFS 200mb maps. While the more reliable EURO or GFS are NOT seemingly "bullish" on significant development and earlier models were hinting toward possible Bay of Campeche development, there looks to be some decent upper difluent conditions forecast to be in place in about 2 days.
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Generated May 18, 2024, 1:02:12 AM EDT
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