0Z Euro is now on board with deepening the Yucatan low, and more worrisome is that the depiction of the systems would appear to approach Cat.2 ( possibly stronger). Much still needs to happen including an outright stall for a couple days. Such is what I was concerned about. Reminds me a little of Hurricane Elena in '85. Trough was slowly lifting, & eventually gave way to an impressive ridge which in turn pushed Elena back westward.
I will be surprised if this disturbed area is not designated as "an Invest" by mid a.m. I think it prudent for all those between Tampa and Houston to keep abreast. Seems like nothing is going to happen all too fast however. I don't think this will approach the Cat. 3 intensity that Elena did, however this system would appear to me to have a conderably larger envelope thus having the potential to cause storm surge issues and flooding to a fairly large piece of real estate. Am kinda "feeling Gulfport" at the moment.
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Generated May 18, 2024, 1:54:56 AM EDT
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