They are going with a stronger storm that moves west slowly over warm water.... they went with the Euro. Not an easy decision and one they can change at any time. Discussion in the 11pm should say a lot about how strong they are in believing their Western Solution.
A lot going on, that is why she is sitting there.
Meanwhile, until she wraps the majority of her convection around her and develops... it's a developing situation I think.
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Generated May 18, 2024, 9:50:01 PM EDT
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center