She is still in ORGANIZATIONAL mode, still organizing, we need to remember that.
I do think it's putting the horse before the cart worrying where she will go in 5 days while the West Coast of Florida and the beaches to the North are getting slammed. If twisters form again today, a possibility...she could take a tremendous financial toll on Florida while making landfall further to the North.. around Mobile Bay or even La... though the Florida Panhandle is looking more and more like ground zero.
Discounting the GFS is sort of like pretending it's not raining in Florida. Even if you don't go with it, you still need to keep watching it in the rear view mirror... consistency in a forecast model is worth noting.
It's not just whistling Dixie, it's reading something that the others are not reading or giving emphasis to ..
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Generated May 18, 2024, 5:33:43 AM EDT
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center