cieldumort
Moderator
Reged: Mon
Posts: 2305
Loc: Austin, Tx
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Re: Tropical Waves
Mon Jul 30 2012 02:23 AM
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The larger wave, with a weak low center pegged near 9.7N 34.3W, has been tagged Invest 99L. Meanwhile, the weaker weave located near 14N 62.5W continues the process of consolidating some deeper convection as it crosses the Lesser Antilles.
Environmental conditions suggest both have some chance for gradual development. On one hand, wind shear appears light to moderate over 99L, while moderate to high over the wave now crossing the Antilles. However, the closer wave (14N 62.5W) could continue to get a bit of a boost from the higher shear, and "flame-up" as it enters progressively warmer waters in the Caribbean, depending on track.
Still very low odds for the immediate future: NHC gives 99L a 20% probability of developing within 48 hours, and makes no mention at all of the closer wave, although if convection persists, it also may get a mention, perhaps later this morning.
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